Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.077600 2.388098 2.732807 3.144503 3.623668 4.164760 4.823508
2025-05-04 1.635940 2.056850 2.571039 3.248322 4.121322 5.214536 6.696413
2025-05-11 1.366805 1.824233 2.420011 3.258641 4.418028 5.977903 8.258410
2025-05-18 1.180630 1.653203 2.301360 3.264404 4.674589 6.688101 9.824110
2025-05-25 1.013390 1.477173 2.141504 3.174791 4.763832 7.151536 11.079864
2025-06-01 0.918115 1.388000 2.088227 3.224011 5.051466 7.930707 12.917109
2025-06-08 0.845678 1.321647 2.057024 3.296688 5.376368 8.800594 15.022672
2025-06-15 0.771439 1.242190 1.993601 3.305371 5.591490 9.510863 16.955775
2025-06-22 0.693125 1.146423 1.891506 3.234015 5.656128 9.964782 18.489769
2025-06-29 0.630785 1.069932 1.811969 3.189586 5.758165 10.491254 20.230044
2025-07-06 0.573033 0.994910 1.726260 3.122409 5.806907 10.920168 21.837902
2025-07-13 0.555859 0.989185 1.761055 3.278909 6.295004 12.247789 25.476211
2025-07-20 0.510137 0.932149 1.706128 3.277664 6.513869 13.153499 28.569336
2025-07-27 0.481364 0.904467 1.704779 3.386067 6.982805 14.675787 33.404095
2025-08-03 0.444832 0.857139 1.659117 3.396865 7.246081 15.799815 37.555914
2025-08-10 0.412147 0.813324 1.614621 3.402890 7.498322 16.940211 41.996029
2025-08-17 0.373634 0.753234 1.529683 3.309187 7.509349 17.521904 45.142900
2025-08-24 0.352494 0.726661 1.511318 3.360652 7.867003 18.997522 51.000745
2025-08-31 0.335356 0.706566 1.504243 3.436651 8.295832 20.727441 57.978298
2025-09-07 0.314560 0.676172 1.470894 3.445731 8.558795 22.076369 64.181761
2025-09-14 0.289750 0.634194 1.406711 3.371114 8.594076 22.822268 68.746297
2025-09-21 0.269271 0.599930 1.356501 3.324657 8.697237 23.776161 74.209684
2025-09-28 0.249202 0.564574 1.299896 3.254418 8.724830 24.520975 79.185289